Saturday, 8 October 2016

Support for Trump is explained by Evolutionary Behavioral Economics

This is a bizarre election in many decades when the unfavorable rates of both candidates exceed 50%. Even so, why do so many voters still choose Trump over Clinton? A key to the answer lies in an evolved human mentality: avoiding loss by gambling. This mentality was first systematically studied by pioneers in behavioral economics such as Richard Thaler, Amos Tversky, and Daniel Kahneman in the 1970s. They found that people tend to gamble when facing a sure loss. For the current presidential election, there is one big difference between the two candidates. A political veteran for over three decades, Clinton embodies predictability and continuation for many of the current policies. A political novice, Trump, on the contrary, is seen as the opposite of the status quo. So for voters who are dissatisfied by the current political, economic, and social situations, a Clinton presidency stands for a sure loss and a Trump presidency represents a gamble—a chance to win, if things go as Trump blueprints. Hence, Trump, even being more disliked, can gain a better part of the support from these voters for no other reason than our evolved penchant to gamble when facing a sure loss.Oct.7

The New Moon eclipse of Sept.1 lies in the midst of the stars Thuban of Draco, Alioth of the Great Bear and  Sextant, and Suhail Velorum of Argo Navis in the very southern heavens. Thuban is the brightest star in the constellation of Draco, the Dragon. The word dragon entered the English language from the Greek word δράκων, drakon.  A severe and totalitarian authority figure came to be likened to a dragon. In his post on the New Moon, Nick Fiorenza explains why it is important to move away from such authority figures and re-align to a new level of integrity and our inner soul / source directive and truth [1].

The eclipse forms a T-square with Saturn and Neptune. Saturn [10sa] is conjunct the star Antares, alpha (α) Scorpius.  Antares is about challenging  the established opposing politics . This is especially in regard to taking a stand against the established conditions of our personal lives and against the established order or authority directing our lives when those conditions or that authority are no longer in our best interest nor supporting our evolutionary freedom and fulfillment.

The Full Moon lunar eclipse  brings the theme of the New Moon solar eclipse to a fulfillment. A chart for the Full Moon at Ellensburg, Washington where the author of the article resides is shown here. Notice that (a) a Saturn-Neptune square straddles the meridian (b) the solar eclipse of Sept.1 took place on the MC of this chart.

Now let us progress the lunar eclipse chart to October 7, the date of the publication of the article. The Saturn-Neptune square now straddles the horizon and is thereby triggered.  Neptune is conjunct the S.Node which implies that in the past (S.Node) people may been too gullible (Neptune) and given away their power. With Saturn at the apex conjunct  Antares  standing against the established order may be preferred now.

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